Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.140330 0.159558 0.180861 0.206281 0.235877 0.269354 0.310238
2026-01-11 0.110198 0.135889 0.167130 0.208228 0.261321 0.328215 0.419852
2026-01-18 0.093850 0.122698 0.160245 0.213356 0.287622 0.389398 0.542250
2026-01-25 0.081351 0.111305 0.152422 0.214051 0.305947 0.440940 0.660055
2026-02-01 0.071825 0.102056 0.145442 0.213745 0.321381 0.489392 0.781631
2026-02-08 0.063914 0.093794 0.138353 0.211565 0.332691 0.532294 0.901991
2026-02-15 0.057404 0.086670 0.131817 0.208887 0.342134 0.572883 1.025972
2026-02-22 0.053526 0.083063 0.130148 0.213591 0.364277 0.638515 1.209903
2026-03-01 0.048749 0.077427 0.124440 0.210471 0.371803 0.678477 1.352022
2026-03-08 0.045219 0.073435 0.120950 0.210649 0.385179 0.731512 1.533369
2026-03-15 0.042098 0.069791 0.117607 0.210550 0.397816 0.785012 1.728467
2026-03-22 0.040024 0.067738 0.116811 0.215059 0.420203 0.862738 2.000189
2026-03-29 0.037795 0.065243 0.115031 0.217604 0.439359 0.938120 2.290265
2026-04-05 0.035804 0.062994 0.113483 0.220441 0.459715 1.020651 2.625089
2026-04-12 0.034325 0.061549 0.113295 0.226040 0.487162 1.125878 3.057422
2026-04-19 0.032449 0.059164 0.111003 0.226803 0.503463 1.206686 3.444638
2026-04-26 0.030639 0.056742 0.108381 0.226480 0.517078 1.283408 3.845912
2026-05-03 0.028803 0.054107 0.105062 0.224150 0.525317 1.347341 4.227991
2026-05-10 0.027085 0.051566 0.101695 0.221289 0.531741 1.407650 4.620370
2026-05-17 0.026189 0.050632 0.101656 0.226315 0.559912 1.538451 5.327559
2026-05-24 0.024681 0.048299 0.098354 0.222982 0.564707 1.599026 5.785321
2026-05-31 0.023564 0.046707 0.096551 0.223172 0.579515 1.695161 6.433759
2026-06-07 0.022509 0.045164 0.094718 0.223066 0.593508 1.792277 7.132860